{"id":2709,"date":"2020-03-04T09:00:20","date_gmt":"2020-03-04T17:00:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/?post_type=xen_episodes&#038;p=2709"},"modified":"2020-09-07T14:08:03","modified_gmt":"2020-09-07T21:08:03","slug":"episode-116-climate-science-part-12a-improving-climate-modeling","status":"publish","type":"xen_episodes","link":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/episodes\/episode-116-climate-science-part-12a-improving-climate-modeling\/","title":{"rendered":"[Episode #116] \u2013 Climate Science Part 12a \u2013 Improving Climate Modeling"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Are the climate change scenarios used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) accurately representing our likely futures, or are they rooted in outdated perspectives that don't represent the progress we\u2019re already making on energy transition? Is the world on a \u201cbusiness as usual\u201d path to climate doom in a planet that\u2019s 5\u00b0C warmer, or are we actually within reach of limiting warming to 2\u00b0C by the end of this century?<\/p>\n<p>In this episode, we ask two experts to debate these questions in the very first extended three-way conversation on this podcast. Representing the energy analyst\u2019s critique of the IPCC models is Bloomberg New Energy Finance founder Michael Liebreich. And representing the modeling work that informs the IPCC process is Dr. Nico Bauer, an integrated assessment modeler with the Potsdam Institute who has helped develop the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways used in the IPCC framework.<\/p>\n<p>This episode is part one of that three-hour conversation. Part two will be featured in <a href=\"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/episodes\/episode-117-climate-science-part-12b-improving-climate-modeling\/\">Episode #117<\/a>. Together, those two episodes make Part 12 of <a href=\"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/category\/climate-science-miniseries\/?view=episode&amp;order=desc&amp;orderby=air_date&amp;display=list\">our mini-series on climate science<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Two energy analysts ask an integrated assessment modeler to explain why the IPCC\u2019s climate scenarios don\u2019t seem to represent the progress of energy transition.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[871,111],"tags":[887,886,884,23,211,838,732,881,880,307,634,882,883,748,309,885,839],"class_list":["post-2709","xen_episodes","type-xen_episodes","status-publish","hentry","category-climate-science-miniseries","category-energy-transition-show-podcasts","tag-ar5","tag-ar6","tag-bloomberg-new-energy-finance","tag-climate","tag-climate-science","tag-feedback-loops","tag-greenhouse-gases","tag-iams","tag-integrated-assessment-models","tag-ipcc","tag-michael-liebreich","tag-nico-bauer","tag-potsdam-institute","tag-rcp8-5","tag-rcps","tag-ssps","tag-tipping-points","xen_guests-michael-liebreich","xen_guests-nico-bauer"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>[Episode #116] \u2013 Climate Science Part 12a \u2013 Improving Climate Modeling | The Energy Transition Show<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Two energy analysts ask an integrated assessment modeler to explain why the IPCC\u2019s climate scenarios don\u2019t seem to represent the progress of energy transition.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/episodes\/episode-116-climate-science-part-12a-improving-climate-modeling\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"[Episode #116] \u2013 Climate Science Part 12a \u2013 Improving Climate Modeling | The Energy Transition Show\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Two energy analysts ask an integrated assessment modeler to explain why the IPCC\u2019s climate scenarios don\u2019t seem to represent the progress of energy transition.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/episodes\/episode-116-climate-science-part-12a-improving-climate-modeling\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Energy Transition Show\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2020-09-07T21:08:03+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@chrisnelder\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/episodes\/episode-116-climate-science-part-12a-improving-climate-modeling\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/episodes\/episode-116-climate-science-part-12a-improving-climate-modeling\/\",\"name\":\"[Episode #116] \u2013 Climate Science Part 12a \u2013 Improving Climate Modeling | The Energy Transition Show\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2020-03-04T17:00:20+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2020-09-07T21:08:03+00:00\",\"description\":\"Two energy analysts ask an integrated assessment modeler to explain why the IPCC\u2019s climate scenarios don\u2019t seem to represent the progress of energy transition.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/episodes\/episode-116-climate-science-part-12a-improving-climate-modeling\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/episodes\/episode-116-climate-science-part-12a-improving-climate-modeling\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/episodes\/episode-116-climate-science-part-12a-improving-climate-modeling\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Episodes\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/episodes\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":3,\"name\":\"[Episode #116] \u2013 Climate Science Part 12a \u2013 Improving Climate Modeling\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/\",\"name\":\"The Energy Transition Show\",\"description\":\"XE Network\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/#organization\",\"name\":\"The Energy Transition Show with Chris Nelder\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cdn.xenetwork.org\/ets\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2015\/09\/ETS-PodcastArtwork.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/cdn.xenetwork.org\/ets\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2015\/09\/ETS-PodcastArtwork.jpg\",\"width\":2500,\"height\":2500,\"caption\":\"The Energy Transition Show with Chris Nelder\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/x.com\/chrisnelder\"]}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"[Episode #116] \u2013 Climate Science Part 12a \u2013 Improving Climate Modeling | The Energy Transition Show","description":"Two energy analysts ask an integrated assessment modeler to explain why the IPCC\u2019s climate scenarios don\u2019t seem to represent the progress of energy transition.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/episodes\/episode-116-climate-science-part-12a-improving-climate-modeling\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"[Episode #116] \u2013 Climate Science Part 12a \u2013 Improving Climate Modeling | The Energy Transition Show","og_description":"Two energy analysts ask an integrated assessment modeler to explain why the IPCC\u2019s climate scenarios don\u2019t seem to represent the progress of energy transition.","og_url":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/episodes\/episode-116-climate-science-part-12a-improving-climate-modeling\/","og_site_name":"The Energy Transition Show","article_modified_time":"2020-09-07T21:08:03+00:00","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_site":"@chrisnelder","twitter_misc":{"Est. reading time":"1 minute"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/episodes\/episode-116-climate-science-part-12a-improving-climate-modeling\/","url":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/episodes\/episode-116-climate-science-part-12a-improving-climate-modeling\/","name":"[Episode #116] \u2013 Climate Science Part 12a \u2013 Improving Climate Modeling | The Energy Transition Show","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/#website"},"datePublished":"2020-03-04T17:00:20+00:00","dateModified":"2020-09-07T21:08:03+00:00","description":"Two energy analysts ask an integrated assessment modeler to explain why the IPCC\u2019s climate scenarios don\u2019t seem to represent the progress of energy transition.","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/episodes\/episode-116-climate-science-part-12a-improving-climate-modeling\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/episodes\/episode-116-climate-science-part-12a-improving-climate-modeling\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/episodes\/episode-116-climate-science-part-12a-improving-climate-modeling\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Episodes","item":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/episodes\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"[Episode #116] \u2013 Climate Science Part 12a \u2013 Improving Climate Modeling"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/#website","url":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/","name":"The Energy Transition Show","description":"XE Network","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/#organization","name":"The Energy Transition Show with Chris Nelder","url":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/cdn.xenetwork.org\/ets\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2015\/09\/ETS-PodcastArtwork.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/cdn.xenetwork.org\/ets\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2015\/09\/ETS-PodcastArtwork.jpg","width":2500,"height":2500,"caption":"The Energy Transition Show with Chris Nelder"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/x.com\/chrisnelder"]}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/episodes\/2709","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/episodes"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/xen_episodes"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2709"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/episodes\/2709\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2709"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2709"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xenetwork.org\/ets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2709"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}